http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200210_model.html

Indeed. 6z runs showing continued bias westward. LBAR argues perhaps one of the worst case scenarios for the US. If it's right, that's a terrible place in TX for a major storm to come in. Gut feeling is it's closer to what may happen than any of the other models UM used in this comparison, may be a bit far to the west still though.

I gotta give props to the NHC for the way they've handled the storm the last 72-96 hours. They've been wishy-washy the last couple of years, but this is a storm that really counts. And despite all the evidence that we may have seen (with 1 or 2 exceptions), they threw the W and WSW tracks - which ordinarily don't make that much sense for what we're dealing with - and done an exceptional job. I know some of those guys (and NWS comrades) read over here, so I'd like to say a big thank you for the good word you're doing with Isidore. All my past criticisms are averaged way up since you get an A+.

Steve