As of 11:00AM, TD#13 is moving west at 23 MPh, 5 MPh faster than at 5:00AM. Avila said this could be an open wave soon if it doesn't slow down...but he also said a decrease in speed is expected...most model guidence indicates this as well. Just given the fact this system sped up so quickly, it was probably just in an area of stronger steering currents. Almost everything favors a slow-down, so I'll go with this.

The new track for TD#13 is also more interesting. Given the fact that the system won't be quite as strong as previously thought, they are now forecasting it to go into the E. Caribbean Sea and move south of Puerto Rico and Hispanola. This probably isn't good for the US in the long-term, not only does it decrease early recurvature chances but also allows for significant strengthening after 72 hours.

Kevin