The possibility I see in this is that it continues to move more less south which moves it further inland. I believe Joe B. thought that it would go inland BUT that it wouldn't go this far inland and continue to go further inland. Izzy may just decide to follow a southerly track and die out in the middle of the Yucatan. He may get too far southward for the trough to pick him up. The point Joe B. was saying is that Izzy would emerge back over the BOC, but if he keeps going south he will never get there.
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