Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Thu May 30 2002 02:49 AM
I have no idea...

Seems like a lot of energy went through there today. We got some pretty heavy thunderstorms in narrow bands here today. If you used some imagination on the visible sat. just after 12, you could trace some of our rain to spiraling around an upper trof and into the SW Atlantic.

We got hit with a TS or Cat-1 in the 80's (was either Bob or Florence) that formed when a complex moved through here, went into the Gulf, then came back northward over land. It seems to me that the shear in the western gulf would be prohibitive, but I haven't looked at any shear models since last night, so that might change or be breaking down with a complex in the area, especially if the upper low has any strength to it. If nothing else, it will slow some of that upper shear out of the west if it sits there for a while, making conditions a little more favorable for the near-term.

Steve



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