the landfall of invest 91L on the coast of northeast florida is now imminent, all precautions to protect life and property should be completed immediately. low lying sandcastles in putnam, flagler, and volusia counties are under voluntary evacuation. beaufort force 3 winds and tidal surges of up to 1 1/4" are expected at the coast, and as this system is slow moving the threat of up to 1/10 and inch of rain exists in the path of 91L.
well, better luck when/if it crosses into the gulf. surface obs still suggest a small, weak, closed low.. but as usual the convection is happening somewhere else. then again, once it moves over land it should start to intensify rapidly. that would be a trip, wouldnt it?
yeah folks (especially those of you who live on the gulf west of florida, you know who you are), i too have noticed the models carrying that mcc down off tx/la. mccs are great, little already spinning ready-made convection packages that only need to hear the gospel of warm ocean water to convert from their wicked, extratropical ways. that happens almost every year, and every so often one will sit and stew long enough to start deepening.. but that usually only happens when the atmosphere is gentle and the shear monster is elsewhere... late summer like. considering what time of year it is i'd say chances are pretty slim, but of course any time 'chances' exist there will be mention of it here at cfhc.
peace to all, take it easy