its quasi stationary. satelite frames tend to jump before the four or so hour break in satelite imagery overnight.. so the movement youre seeing is sort of a gag. go look at the nrl monterey animation and youll see what i mean. winds down to 80mph.. but pressure still at 954mb. up 20mb from earlier today. might be a tropical storm that makes it into the bay of campeche... later today? yeah.. storm has a history of stalling for a few hours. scratch the earlier short term track/intensity though.. maybe come off around 980mb, 60mph winds. take a couple of days to recover.
from a forecasting standpoint, this storm is pissing me off. every time i expect it to do something perfectly sensible it does something else.
HF 0635z23september