There were some posts in here last week that said some models showed a development so fo Cuba--in fact, I think a Tallahassee AFD mentioned that Sunday. But, that was dismissed due to the strength if Isadore. So, now that Isadore is not so strong, hmm, all bets off> ??Looking at Cancun Radar this am btw, I saw a hook echo NNW of Progresso--somebody musta been getting a waterpout out over the Guld, or is was a mesocyclone..very distinct. This was about 7:30 this morning.

Tallahassee also was speculating on a fujiwahara..time will tell.

Interesting thought---what if Lilly runs into Isadore's outlfow, or a new storm.

I have never seen the tropics look this messy and still have trhee storms going!

BTW---not to pat self on back...but, my forecast in August was for an extremely busy mid/late September uptick, and overall busier later season...with 12-14 storms

. looks like I might have been a bit low.

The 1984 analogy still holds up in many ways too, I think (that was postulated in June).

IHS,

Bill

IHS,

Bill