Kevin
(Weather Master)
Mon Sep 23 2002 10:21 PM
Re: 4pm discussion answers last few questions...

I see what you are seeing in the slight N or even NE movement, but the bottom line is that the center is "wobbling" around somewhat. It does appear NHC will have to shift the forecast further E with time, heck, even Beven admitted that.

Lili looks like she's breaking the speed limit right now, she'd better slow down or else the "hurricane cops" will give her a ticket. Still looks like a slow-down to 15-18 knots by 36 hours. That would be ideal for intensification. No one ever said she would develop rapidly in this area. If she survives E. Caribbean, we could explosive development. Cuba, Haiti, Jamaica, and Florida (down the road) need to keep their eyes on this.

Alternative MNF prediction (plan B):
Bucs 752,000
Rams -752,000

Kevin



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