ALRIGHT CURRENTLY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS ISADORE HAS BEEN MOVING 50' OR A NE MOTION AS THE CONVECTION IS SLOWLY INCREASING ON THE W AND SW SIDE OF THE LLC.
I HAVENT REALLY POSTED ANY PERDICTIONS IN WHERE THIS WILL END UP OVER THE LAST 36 HOURS CAUSE I WANTED TO SEE WHERE HIS SW TURN WILL GO AND HOW LONG HE WILL BE THERE. IT DID HAPPEN ALITTLE QUICKER THEN WHAT THE MODELS WERE FORCASTING BUT GENERALLY THEY ALL DID SEE A SW TURN.
ILL KEEP THIS REAL BRIEF SINCE MOST OF YA ARE IN BED WHICH I SHOULD BE NOW,.ANYWAYS MY LAST POST 36HRS BACK SAID HE WILL WEAKEN AND COULD MOVE NNE IN TIME THEN BACK MORE TO THE NE BUT I DIDNT SAY FORSURE THIS WOULD HAPPEN AS I EXPECTED HIM TO REMAIN WELL S OF THE TROUGH. DUE TO THOUGH THE EARLY TURN AND STAYING EAST THE FL AREA SHOULD HAVE A GREATER CONCERN. I AGREE WITH FELLOW JASON ON A NNE MOTION WITH SOME WOBBLES TO THE LEFT OR RIGHT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, A GENERAL TURN TO THE NE N OF 28' WILL PUT AREAS OF WAY NORTH OF TAMPA TO AS FAR WEST AS NEW ORLEANS IN THE WATCH AREA, THIS DOESNT MEAN THOUGH THIS WHOLE AREA WILL HAVEN HURRICANE WATCHES UP , JUST THAT THEY SHOULD MONITURE THE SYSTEM,. NOW AS OF WHERE HE COMES OFF THE COAST AND DIRECTION WILL DETERMINE WATCHES PROBABLY LATE TOMORROW NIGHT OR WEDS MORNING. CURRENTLY A TROUGH TO ITS N AND RIDGE BUILDING TO THE EAST WILL CAUSE A S AND SSW FLOW TO MOVE HIM N OR NNE. LATER A BEND TO THE RIGHT WILL BE AS HE RUNS ALONG THE TROUGH AND INTO THE SE US. CURRENT EXACT LANDFALL ISNT KNOWN YET BUT I SAY FROM MOBILE TO CEDAR KEY, BUT I WONT KNOW FORSURE LIKE ANYONE UNTIL 24HRS BEFORE LANDFALL. FROM NOW TILL 12PM TUESDAY WHERE HE ENTERS THE GULF COULD SHOW THE DIRECTION HE WILL GO. THATS IT FOR NOW, SCOTTSVB