Mike
(Weather Watcher)
Tue Sep 24 2002 08:15 AM
Lili info

From the NWS in Melbourne: EXTENDED...GFS MODEL PREVIOUSLY INDICATED THE FIRST COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FOR SUN. BUT AS EXPECTED IT IS PULLING BACK ON THIS
FORECAST. STILL A BIT TOO EARLY FOR A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE
MODEL FORECASTS LILI TO TURN NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
AHEAD OF THIS WEAKENING TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT EACH RUN
BRINGS IT CLOSER AND CLOSER TO FL.

From the NWS in Miami: EXTENDED...ISIDORE WILL FINALLY (I HOPE) BE HISTORY BY THIS TIME.
THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MAY TEMPORARILY BUILD SOUTHWEST
INTO OUR AREA AND WE MAY SEE A MUCH DRIER WEATHER PATTERN OVER EAST
COAST SECTIONS THU AND FRI. BUT WAIT...LILI MAY HAVE A SURPRISE IN
STORE FOR US AS THE NEW GUIDANCE HAVE THE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY.
WE NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS SYSTEM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS THE ERN AND CENTRAL CARIB NEXT FEW DAYS.


If Izzy holds true and Lili does what the models think then FEMA could be very busy come this weekend.

It will be very interesting to see all three storms interreact.