thats where im sending izzy. intensity is up in the air, dependent on how quickly a cdo reforms. we get that in 6 hours, big hurricane comes ashore. 24 hours and probably just a very weak one. landfall late thursday.
lili's latest recon got 69kt flight level winds. looks to be more aligned this morning.. guess it will be a hurricane in another 24.
kyle is ambling along. a little stronger.
disturbance near 19/40 is drifting along still, shear overhead but a little convection still going. not going to do much developing as is, but will watch it until it goes away.
anything forming off the east coast will have to do so in a hurry.
gray skies, specks of rain, easterly breeze with gusts. this reminds me of the morning opal was coming. but this isnt an opal just yet.
HF 1334z24september