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The latest visible loop shows that Lili is not as healthy as the NHC advisories seem to report ( has winds up to 70mph). The center is still out-running the convection with the left half of the storm consisting of little more than low-level clouds. However, the llc itself does not appear to be exposed & the forward speed HAS slowed somewhat, so Lili might intensify. That central pressure of 1004mb is certainly not indicative of a 70 mph system. Lou |