She is still be affected by the ULL to her SSW which is disrupting her appearance currently. She should be passing that later tonight and should organize in a hurry tomorrow. This is gonna track a bit further west than the track shown by the NHC. Like HF said, even if further east, may get a "sympathetic" ridge to push it back west courtesy of Kyle. Izzy is still sitting pretty much over the same general location he has been for the past few hours. That is not good. He's dipping his toe in the water to get oriented and will be ready to intensify as soon as he shoves off. More time over water is not a good thing. Moderte cat 2 IMO before landfall. If you've ever been in a large storm such as this you'll be surprised at the power a big cat 2 can give you. There is a lot of inertia with this storm and you will be feeling it well before it arrives. If he manages to get to cat 3 look out, ya get a lot more damage witha large storm. Cheers!! Steve H.