Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Thu May 30 2002 09:53 PM
Couple of interesting model runs...

This is the ETA 48 hour 4-panel showing surface low just south of LA.

http://weather.unisys.com/eta/4panel/eta_pres_4panel.gif

NGM does about the same thing without much shower activity

http://weather.unisys.com/ngm/4panel/ngm_pres_4panel.gif

AVN @ 48 does pretty much the same thing

http://weather.unisys.com/aviation/48h/avn_pres_48h.gif

But it likes a 569 Low in the NE Gulf @ 120

http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/avn/avn_cpres_h120.gif

NOGAPS, UKMET and MRF don't do much with the low.

The European shows the low initially, then weakens it (which is pretty much what the NHC is doing).

http://www.met.tamu.edu/newmodels/ecmwf500_H_V_plot.gif

Steve