joepub1
(Storm Tracker)
Sat Sep 28 2002 12:29 AM
Lili still reforming?

Evening to everybody.

As the GOM trys to return to a more normal state of affairs, Lili seems to be pulling herself together. She is trying to get her center stacked, and now that the center has found it's way under the convection, pressure is down to 999MB, droping about 1 an hour. Outflow is begining to look MUCH better; for a little while I thought the convection was begining to fade, now I'm thinking she actually at the begining of the spin cycle. Moving NNW, center jumping around a little bit, lower western Cuba seems a probable target, at least short term. Still very unlikely she'll cross Cuba anytime soon, I don't think South Fla stands a chance of seeing her. The Keys, maybe, but I haven't seen anything to make me look there,either. Models, in the long term, are already begining to do the Izzy dance, but are slowly shifting toward the east down the road, at least for the moment.

Joe in Jax



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