lili hasnt moved much since last night. core looks pretty well defined this morning, even though recon is saying it has broadened. not sure what the storm is doing.
kyle actually driting nw in last couple of visible frames. convection has finally been disjoined from the rest of the storm. modeling does little with it or takes it slowly west.. then diverges.. most of the globals now turn it back east or northeast. nhc guidance still takes it west, though. gfdl even takes it south. and though greatly weakened (think it is weaker than nhc official)... nothing really kills kyle.
94L.. surprised another cv system is trying to go. sw shear is up ahead, probably enough to keep it from developing much.. and the ridge in that part of the basin is weakened.. will probably turn this one up well out to sea. if it gets west then it will have to forego development for quite some time.
HF 1742z28september