Colleen A.
(Moderator)
Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
Strike Possibilities.....

I just spent a good 1/2 hour looking at the Strike Probabilities between 9/27 and 9/30

Key West now has the highest strike probabilities @18% at 11:00AM which is up from 14% at 5:00AM today.

Buras, LA was at it's highest, 18% on 9/30 at 5:00AM, and has now dropped to 13% as of the 11AM advisory.

Texas strike probablities range as high as 12% at 11AM today (Galveston) and as low as 4% in Brownsville, TX today at 11AM.

I don't know if this means the storm track has been shifted to the right; giving Key West the highest percentage or what.

If you have any thoughts on this, please let me know.