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Happy hurricane season 2002! Gray did lower his numbers, but I don't really think it matters. For the past few years, he has consistantly predicted low anyways. We'll probably end up with 12/7/3. Maybe a little higher, maybe a little lower. He says that the SSTAs are low because of the NAO and AO being positive. The forecast also said that these are natural during times of strong Atlantic thermocline, but I believe this to be a bit suspicous. All it would take is a negative NAO in August for a while for us to have warmer than normal water temps, IMO. We'll see. Stay safe. |