I think the most likely 2 spots for anything to get going in the next couple of weeks are the Southern Gulf/BoC and the NW Caribbean extending upwards into the Bahamas. While the upper low in the Gulf is starting to fire up some convection again, it is undetermined as to whether it will ever become a weather maker for the US. If so, the Panhandle is the region most likely to be affected. If the upper low moves out, look for some convection to try to get cooking in the extreme southern Gulf by Thursday or Friday and then again 3-4 days later. If the upper low hangs around the Western Gulf or the TX/MX coast, it is likely to keep anything from getting organized in the southern Gulf.

Steve