Convection in the northwest caribbean may be the only game in town for the next couple of days, if it persists... Climatelogically, it's in a prime area for tropical development during the month of June... We've had approximately 63 June storms in the past 113 years so that leaves us with about a 56% change of a storm this month.

I can remember some past years back that we would not get any development to speak of during June or July... IMO the real season begins around the middle of August... Things usually crank up big time when the Cape Verdi storms develop from waves off the African coast..

If we have an average season as most of the weather experts predict, then probably something should develop in the next month or two... just have to wait and see

I still think the New Orleans area is way past due and it's my prime target of the season...