Yeah, Kyle has to be seriously considered for a landfall prospect, and I believe the models (and history tells us) don't handle intensity very well. Kyle will be coming under a strong ridge when he makes the west turn, and these waters near the SE coast and Bahamas are quite warm as they have been undisturbed by tropical systems this year. Current models have him coming in near south/central Florida, prabably just north of Stuart. But it's too early to call. But GFDL and NOGAPS (the one's that show Kyle surviving) have him crossing the peninsula into the GOM (GFDL at 50 knots coming into Florida) and maybe intensifying in the GOM. Just a scenario, but probabilities are rising. He could make it in time for the bonfire for the hurricanes/FSU. CHeers! Steve H.