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Kyle is trying to make a comeback, but the question is the amount of time he has left. He is moving quickly WSW and may not have a lot of time to get this act together. The clouds are thickening some and there is a small area of moderate convection that has been expanding just east of the LLC. Kyle could really take a strong swing at becoming a minimal TS again if more convection develops. I said yesterday a moderate TS to minimal hurricane at landfall because I thought the convection would actually persist, but this hasn't occured as I had expected. Florida can expect breezy conditions with Kyle. If he redevelops more convection, very heavy rainfall in large amounts would be possible. Not a threatening situation unless a big intensification phase gets underway. The air is likely to dry and stable for that too occur. Joe B. (wishcaster at times) will be watching the W. Caribbean next week for development of a hybrid storm. E GOM would be likely target for any system, but I won't say much about this until a low cuts off of a frontal tail and I see semi-favorable conditions. All of this may be occuring by the time I get home from vacation (Thursday or Friday). TS/STS Marco threatening Florida by late next week? Lets throw this idea around some. I'll add this: We also need to see pressure falls in order to see windspeeds increase with Kyle. That could an inhibiting factor. Kevin |