http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kjax.shtml

Based on the radar link and tonight's IRs, if I was in South Carolina I know I'd be into it (as would most of you). Hell, an outer band is worth a six-pack.

I agree with HF on the SW Carribean. It's too early to call, but there's going to be a pretty big front sweep into the Gulf this weekend. New Orleans is forecasted to start at 72 Sunady and drop from there. It's our first fall shot. That's supposed to hold until maybe Thursday. 4 days of mild-cool air (plus all the recent rainfall - another 6-12" in SW LA since Sunday), the NGC water temps will come down some. There is a link at ATCW.org to a site that gives maximum hurricane potential as of a given time over the Atlantic basin based on these temps, shear and other indicators. That's something to watch this week. I've only run across that link 1 time, and it was 2 days old, but when I run across it again, I'll post it. It might be important next week. Gut feeling tells me the threat is 150 miles or more east of here, but could be a Cat-2 or 3 event for someone in the US next weekend.

TPS