57497479
(Weather Master)
Sat Oct 12 2002 07:27 PM
Re: Time to look south

Mary to answer your question if I think that future Marco could affect the W coast of Fl, I would have to say that there is certainly a possibility, as Steve mentioned earlier, the models should have a better handle on it tomorrow.
Toni
CHECK THIS OUT.....



MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL
330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002


CARIBBEAN...12Z GFS/AVN RUN CONTINUES TO DEVELOP A TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE SW PART OF THE AREA AND MOVES IT N ABOUT 20 KT
INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN ON MON. NOGAPS MOVEMENT IS A LITTLE SLOWER
MOVING THE SYSTEM OFF THE HONDURAS COAST.

ATLC...LIGHT WIND ACROSS THE AREA.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...
GFS/AVN MOVES THE SYSTEM ACROSS W CENTRAL CUBA ON TUE AND THEN
ACCELERATES IT ON A NEARLY DUE N TRACK WED AND THU. NOGAPS IS
MUCH SLOWER ON THE SYSTEMS MOVEMENT. GFDL RUN INDICATES A
946 MB HURRICANE WITH 105 KT WINDS IN THE AREA BETWEEN THE N
BAHAMAS AND CENTRAL CUBA IN 72 HOURS.



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