I should have been more specific in my last post. I believe this YEAR the GFDL has done well with intensity, not necessarily at landfall but at peak performance. You can't assume anything with this WAVE, however the GFDL takes it inland and then back out while the others keep it over water bringing in poleward faster. That's why I believe the GFDL scenario seems reasonable as far as timing. That would also change the environmental conditions being south of Cuba in 120 hours opposed to almost every other model which had it there 3 days earlier.