garyb
(Weather Guru)
Mon Oct 14 2002 01:23 PM
Runs on TD #14

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.

PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN (AL142002) ON 20021014 1200 UTC



...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS...

021014 1200 021015 0000 021015 1200



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 17.3N 82.9W 19.0N 82.9W 21.3N 81.7W

BAMM 17.3N 82.9W 18.7N 83.1W 20.6N 82.1W

A98E 17.3N 82.9W 19.1N 83.0W 20.5N 82.1W

LBAR 17.3N 82.9W 19.2N 82.9W 21.5N 82.2W

SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS

DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS



...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS...

021016 0000 021016 1200 021017 1200



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 24.2N 79.1W 27.9N 75.7W 37.5N 66.7W

BAMM 23.0N 79.9W 25.8N 76.7W 33.1N 69.0W

A98E 22.1N 80.6W 24.1N 78.7W 28.1N 74.7W

LBAR 23.9N 80.9W 26.7N 79.1W 35.2N 71.0W

SHIP 45KTS 51KTS 52KTS

DSHP 39KTS 45KTS 46KTS



...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 82.9W DIRCUR = 350DEG SPDCUR = 10KT

LATM12 = 15.3N LONM12 = 82.5W DIRM12 = 349DEG SPDM12 = 10KT

LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 82.1W

WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT

CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



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