Well, honestly, I had written this one off. Wasn't even going to pay any more attention to it. It remains sheared, shear is supposed to increase further, and all models take it rapidly northeast. However, the 11 a.m. discussion surprised me. There is some indication now that (i forget who) someone's earlier idea that this thing gets left behind in the NW Carrib. may come to fruition. This is a very slim possibility to me...and I am stll convinced it is going to head NE, or even ENE, probably get to minimal TS status, and head through the southern Bahamas out into the sea. Still, the NHC seems to at least be considering the possibility....

Man, some of these babies have very unpredictablethis year huh? The models were all in agreement this would be near Havana by now.

Brett