Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Tue Oct 15 2002 11:45 PM
TD 14 - Maybe

Center is getting very difficult to locate and at 2230Z it may have reformed northward again near 20N 82.5W. Pressure drops may be associated more with the approaching trough rather than a developing cyclone. Circulation is becoming ragged and may be in the process of being absorbed by the general circulation associated with the north Gulf cyclone. Recent burst of convection north of what may be the reforming center might keep the TD alive as a distinct entity for another day - but it has to persist and enlarge overnight or the recognition of TD 14 might be short-lived. If it holds together long enough, extreme south Florida might get a brush. If the center continues to jump northward, its unlikely that the system could ever make TS status.
Cheers,
ED



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