think that run is just gfdl garbage.. the t.d. most probably continues NE. ridging would have to really resurge to block 14, highly doubtful.
as for the model shown trailer.. yeah, that could be interesting. there is still a upper environment in the sw caribbean that could foster organization in the wake, with convection still scattered in the sw caribbean. negative mjo (the happy version) is creeping back into the picture.. activity somewhat likely next week.
former kyle system in the central atlantic dropping SE-ward. be funny if it manages to cut off and redevelop.
HF 1507z16october