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think it might be, bill. been a very quiet october, and nowhere in the basin does development look very likely. ssts off south america are quite warm now.. think el niño has stamped down on atlantic basin tropical activity for the season. outside of maybe another pattern development system.. think 2002 is done. based on el niño's usual endurance, i dare say next year will finally be a below-average one. 2002 season prediction, same since november 2001: 12-8-4 current season tally: 12-4-2 hurricane numbers well off, but the NS totals werent bad. i'll have something for next year around november 15th. HF 2324z20october |