Steve, check out Joe B tropical outlook today, very interesting. He has a very similar approach as I posted yesterday regarding grouping of land areas based on the affect of a hurricane as opposed to by state alone.

Our areas were not all group the same but the methodology and approach was similar, one big difference Joe had from mine is that he has nine groups, I had six, and that he grouped SW and SE Florida as one, which makes more sense from how I grouped them (east coast vs west coast).

Regardless, he has developed a scoring system based on landfall and intensity (based on pressure) and this year ranks the Hatterus area as having the highest strike zone of 3.2/1. South Florida and the Northern Gulf Coast (boothsville to fla panhandle) are next with a rating 1.75/1 and 1.70/1 respectively... you need to listen to the broadcast to understand his numbering system, overall he projects 5 landfalling storms, although one storm could strike more than one area.

Joe B, gotta love him cause he's not afraid to go out on a limb.

Here is the link...

http://www.accuweather.com/adcbin/video_index