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the particular kind of el niño we've got right now has the strongest positive anomalies, and source, in the central pacific. the signal off peru isnt all that impressive. so if anybody has the time or patience, take a look at years with developing la niña that followed centpac el niño events, get us some analog seasons to look at and digest. if you're interested in what kind of winter we may get due to the el niño signature, read the articles joe d'aleo at intellicast.com has posted recently. informative, with good data and graphics supporting the ideas. gray faces the worst bust of a seasonal forecast since 1997. we get to hear the hair-pulling review in another week or two. personally, thoughts are now advancing to whether i'll see snow when i go home this winter. i have an unfinished snowball vendetta against my brother and sister that knows no end. and my skull-headed snowman (he had icicle teeth!) last january was the coolest on the block.. until the sun wilted him and his head lopped off. anyway, i want more snow. HF 0255z18november |