the central gulf is looking somewhat interesting. this has all the appearance of one of those systems that will be clobbered by shear, but occasionally of these systems does make it through. i dont know how much is going on at the surface but at least at the mid levels there is some banding at the western edge of the cloud mass. maybe something is trying to fester inside the small shelter strip at the center of the upper trough.
invest 92L, huh? its predecessors failed to do anything, and this one looks like another early season failure. according to the models this area will remain disturbed for a few days, so it does have plenty of time to get its act together.
right now i give it 10% of becoming something in the next 36hrs. doubt the shear will let up.