Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Jun 05 2002 05:38 PM
Will a depression form today or tonight?

Goes Visible today shows a better signature in the Gulf than at any time so far this summer. All the convection is to the north and east of the center, but we've had several bands on shore today that aren't seabreeze related. They are all moving SE to NW or ESE to WNW and training in places. The city hasn't seen that much rain, but we're in the clouds today and I'd say the wind speed is probably 8-12mph I checked all the buoys and could find ESE, ENE, E, and SE winds above and to the right of the circulation. I ran across a NE wind near a buoy off the TX/LA coast, but I can't find anything with a westerly component. I didn't check any ship reports from the Central Gulf because I don't think there are any W winds yet. This is the buoy with the highest continuous windspeed.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.phtml?station=burl1

My money is on a Tropical Depression forming sometime tonight or tomorow. And while there is a sprinkle of wishcasting thrown in, I am basing this off of observations. The only other thing I can't find is lowering pressure.

Steve



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