for what its worth im going to stick with my preseason guess that nothing comes until july. as much as i was doubting it a couple weeks ago, with that big offshore low lighting up the forecast models, its a reasonable bet and probably wont get me into too much trouble. based on how things look right now i would discount any formation in the next four days. of some note is the disturbance south of the gulf of tehuantepec in the eastpac. that could be boris in a day or two.
as for the part about beavers: forget all the cute cartoon images you have in your mind about the varmints. i spent yesterday afternoon in the biggest disgusting mire hacking up three beaverdams that are choking up a creek on the hunting club i belong to, making the pond below it an algal blooming mess. drought and dirty mucky water dont do good things for gamefish populations. also of note: dont walk on quivering sphagnum moss and submerged peat with methane bubbles coming out vigorously; there is nothing but cold water below and when you punch through it doesnt want to let you back up. thanks to some evil beavers i discovered this bit of trivia, as well as gaining an uncanny resemblance to swampthing.