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Interesting tidbit here from the NCEP discussion: MODELS INDICATE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE DEVELOPMENT/TRACK OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT MAY ARISE FROM CONVECTION CURRENTLY OBSERVED OVER THE WRN CARIBBEAN. MOST LIKELY SCENARIO ATTM APPEARS TO TAKE ANY SYSTEM THAT DOES DEVELOP SUFFICIENTLY FAR ENOUGH E THAT THE SOUTHEAST COAST WOULD NOT BE AFFECTED. My question is, if it does indeed develop, how does it get from the western Carib far enuf east not to affect the SE?? Especially this time of year. I don't think the deep trough expected over the NE will move it that faar ENE. In the Fall yes, but not in June. I guess we'll see if it develops first. Steve H. |