more than half the month gone, and still nothing. typical june. been very quiet all around the world, actually... southern hemisphere and over in the westpac. two super typhoons earlier in the year and little since. not the usual el nino vigor, maybe that says something as to the effect ENSO is having. eastpac pretty normal so far, though a bit on the slow side. what this means for the atlantic i have no idea.
noticed all of you florida folks jumping about rain yesterday, but nothing doing here in the interior south. clouds hung around all day but never did anything. been very few months since mid 1998 that we've gotten average or above average rainfall, expecting saguaro cactus to start growing in the back yard any day now.
and how about the big one? well, best not to speculate. its sort of like predicting when the next major global terrorism event will happen. though intrigued, i don't feel at all jipped when a borderline cat 5 floyd aimed at east florida turns out to be a cat 2 rainstorm in north carolina. just blink and go back to the vigil. its the old question of where us weather aficionados need to draw the line between being low key adrenaline junkies and rubberneckers at the death and ruin.
well, just over two weeks into the season, but still about eight weeks from the start of the thick part. ya know, june and july never really give us anything major. look back over the years of records.. the only thing that really stands out against this rule is audrey in 1957. lesson being, unless youre that cajun guy from cameron la who posts here, you dont have good reason to worry before august.