It is Frank P. Any thoughts? There's definitely a little outflow. This afternoon (maybe 2 or 3) it looked like there was a surface low on the Yucatan and the other Blob in the BoC. I was thinking the action was gonna form in the East Pac along the MX coast, but it seems the energy wanted to come together a little north of there. It will be interesting to see how the moisture interacts with the diving SSW dry air coming down through the south. It's got to be the key player as far as steering goes down the line. The AVN placed the moisture there a few days ago, so maybe it will be a good model for the early part of the season? For the last couple of days, some of the other models put low pressure inland in MX so maybe that's where it's headed, but I don't know. It can't go north too quickly with the trof coming down, and if it doesn't move off to the east or ene either, then it could be a player maybe - at least its moisture.

Steve