still think, as I posted earlier, that there will be late activity, and that nothing of mention will develop till August...but of course, the occassional suprise should keep us glued to this great site.

forecaster and weather hobbiests all agree we are entering a period of greater activity, such as what occurred earlier this century. The gulf coast,and all the build-up there...is a sitting duck.

The theory I studied has to do with methane hydrates, which are compounds, that the "expert" thought had a great impact on the strength of hurricanes. As he theorized, the hurricanes are as a much an electrical phenomenon, as warm waters and low pressure areas....all are important to get one cranking up. He had predicted hurricane Mitch, whose late season intensity (at a point was a cat 5) was due to river runoff, sediments and all, into the waters. The delay in the runoff due to man made dams, causes the delayed season. If one studies the unbelievable dam that the Chinese are building, in his view, it is another man made thing that is distorting weather patterns on a global scale.

I am no genuis..but do love to read...and I think this bears some interesting things to look ahead to....

so the conclusion? late season intense hurricanes...

he called himself Mike Hydrate...and posted on the weather channel forum