That 100 percent are first system as of right now and the nrl has it as 93L. The d number is 1.5 that is 25 to 30 mph wind and the low leavel yes I think it a low leavel spin is just on the northern enge of the thunderstorms this low is looking like there some outflow and I will say that we got are system we been looking for a long time this storm even starting to look like a tropical storm but you all now that the nation hurricane center will just sleep on this and never give it a chance so don't but your hunder dollar bill on it because if they see it they might but the way there going it going to take a hurricane to hit the u.s before they might start waking up so that what I think the chance are low but all say tropical system number one and that all I can do as of right now.