wonder what the focal mechanism will be down in the gulf, if something does form. for some reason i have little faith in that trough south of louisiana.. think it will come together a bit off from there. models arent going nuts and all jumping on it, so mediocre confidence. there are days for this to happen anyway.
ive looked at the eastpac cooling.. it's a pretty drastic pulse of cold. sort of thing that could wreck el nino on the east side of the equatorial pacific, if it keeps up for long.
odd random interest:
look at the eastpac systems from 1975 on the unisys page. see something odd? i found a document online describing that system, so it isnt a joke (i wasnt convinced until i found the documenting page by chance). if you want to read the document, do a web search with dvorak, and add something else like 1975 or eastern pacific. i didnt bookmark it, doh.
HanKFranK aiken, SC 0331z07july