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Actually the long range trend has been toward an eventual El Nino, but even if it does verify it will happen too late to have any influence on the 2004 season. If it materializes (and sustains for 5 or 6 months) , it could have a dampening effect on the 2005 season. Recently returned from a QM2 cruise and the SSTs from St Thomas to St Lucia were steady at 26C. Cheers, ED |