gray adds another system. the analog years speak volumes about how much real risk there is--all active seasons with little in the way of u.s. landfalls (minus carla in 1961). that's been the trend of the last decade, so probably nothing new for 2004. lots of stuff to track, and not a lot of trouble from it. perhaps i'm understating the risk, but usually you get closer to the truth that way. will have a deep layer low in the central atlantic southeast of bermuda this weekend, but of course it's april and it shouldn't do anything.
0155z09april