i'm interested.. will have to go look for this stuff. surprised that the page with the oddball tropical cyclones doesn't have any reference to it.
the link that steve posted is most interesting, in that the drought conditions developing in the southeast fit the bill of anoncoming la nina year. the cool tongue off peru is more pronounced, though the equatorial pacific is still mostly slightly warm in most places. i don't think a large scale la nina like the 1998-2001 events is in the making (therefore don't think a season tightly focused between august and october is on the way). looks like weak-moderate la nina, highly active and respondent to mjo waves. cooler pocket of surface waters in the eastern atlantic may persist.. later development/intensification (closer to the caribbean) may result. however, everything always recurves or weakens before landfall, so have no fear. isabel was just a hiccup.
HF 0411z25april