nothing doing. it's trying, but water is too cool.. mid latitude shortwaves driving the train. of course, this happens in june and we get us a system.
itcz is down around 5N, no waves to speak of perking up along it. interesting to note that ssts off the peruvian coast near the galapagos are still trending downward.. more pronounced than the broad area of weakly warm surface waters in nino 3/4.
dont make anything out of the cool gulf. that can change in a couple of weeks, and probably will. summer is close now.
HF 0321z10may