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Phil, I had a little more time to check out the Hurricane Alley link. They have my area as a high risk based on the 80% of 32 variable analogs. If the link works: http://hurricanealley.net/images/region7landcty.jpg That's "Region 7" These are the historicals from the analogs http://hurricanealley.net/impactreg7.html I don't know that I agree, but like everyone else, I'm always looking for a little action. As far as the other regions I clicked on, they have Long Island as a moderate risk, and NE of Halifax as "high". The hotlink for Region 4 (coastal NC) was inactive. Steve |