Couldn't see the landfall probs Cy-eye, where are they on that page?
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I think the Western Caribbean gets cranking by end of the week with our first storm which may mimmick the Super Typhoon expected to curve just east of Japan. The H2O profiles are fairly similar east of NC and east of Japan. I'm expecting that the/a storm will form south of Florida and Cuba and trend north than Northeastward possibly bombing out off the coast of NC (or the Delmarva) as a Nor'easter post-phasing. I put in my prediction on the first named storm of the year in the Storm Forum, so hopefully I win the contest. Most likely effects if I'm right will be good surfing on the Atlantic side of Florida and probably some squally weather for the Bahamas. Here's the post:

First storm of the season gets cranking late this week or on the weekend. I don't see much more than a mid-grade Tropical Storm, but when it phases off the east coast as a direct teleconnection to Super Typhoon N(whatever) recurving near Japan, it should bomb out and become a fairly strong Nor'easter.

Let's go with development for Friday south of Florida and coming up on the east side possibly swiping coastal North Carolina mid next week (depending on how close the Super Typhoon gets to coastal Japan).

Steve