NOAA fairly consistent with every other prediction scheme we've seen so far this year. Right within my 14/8/3 prediction. I, too, posted my prediction in the other forum, but basically I'm calling for our first TS somewhere in the GOM by mid-June (June 14th-ish). So far, all the big signs are there for an active season: ENSO, SOI, high SSTs, relaxed trades, etc. If these conditions hold through to August, then BAM. Like HF, I hope we see a lot of storms that merely spin the fish. Andrew came in a season that was fairly 'inactive,' so it's not the number of storms, it's where they go. Will have to keep our eyes to the tropics towards the end of the week for Steve's gutsy call.