Kevin
(Weather Master)
Mon May 17 2004 08:40 PM
Hey y'all!

I'm back from my 6 month tropical slumber now, and in appropriate fashion, there is a slight chance for Caribbean development.

The models are pretty much the only thing that I can go on at this point. The three that show development (NOGAPS, ECMWF, and GFS) also show the a more favorable shear pattern towards in coming days.

The other thing that favors development is the heat buildup that will be coming off of South America in the next few days. I don't usually notice things like that, but Joe B.'s video showed it fairly well. It looks like we have a couple of things to base any development predictions on.

IWIC seasonal comes out May 25th, not much more of a wait for you all.


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