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Good thought process steve. If it develops (if the broad low gets over water it will IMO) the answer to where it goes lies somewhere in between the models. Definitely bears a close watch, and if it hangs around long enuf, ridge will rebuild next week which could move it into the GOM. We are at the time of year where these things can happen, so anyone who says its May and it won't develop shouldn't ignore this one. The water is plenty warm in the SW Carib. Cane season is just days away. Cheers!! Steve H. |